基于模糊层次分析法的海洋石油工程项目风险评估研究

打开文本图片集

中图分类号：TE58；TQ086 文献标志码：A文章编号：1001-5922（2025）10-0125-04

Research on risk assessment of offshore oil project based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process

CUI Ruoxiang （Offshore Oil Engineering Co.，Ltd.，Tianjin ，China）

Abstract：In view of the systematic deficiency and subjectivity in therisk assessmentof ofshore oil engineering projects，which leads to the inconsistency between theassessment resultsand theactual situation，therisk assessment model and application research of ofshore oil engineering projects based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process arecarriedout.Byconstructing afour-level index system including technology，management，environment and emergency response capability，the index weight is calculated by combining the interval number judgment matrix，and the risk level is quantified byusing the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.Through comparative experiments， it is provedthat the new evaluation methodcanconsider allkinds ofrisk factors more comprehensively，and has significantadvantages inevaluationaccuracyand interpretability，especiallyforrisk assessmentofpetroleumengineering projects in complex marine environment.

Key words： fuzzy analytic hierarchy process; engineering projects;assessment; risk ; marine oil

近年来，由于我国经济的高速发展，对石油和天然气的需求日益增长，石油和天然气的供需矛盾日益突出[1]。（剩余4225字）