电动农机规模化应用路径及发展趋势预测

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中图分类号：S23 文献标识码：A 文章编号：2095-5553（2025）08-0281-07

Abstract：Modermization ofagricultureandelectricationofagricultural machineryarethedirections for future development.Electric agricultural machinery，characterized bycompact structure，highworking eficiency，low energy consumptionandlowemissions，plays asignificantrole inenergyconservationand emisionreduction.Theelectrification of agricultural machinery isanimportant measure to helpachieveChina's“dual carbon”goals，aswellasanessential path to achieveruralrevitalizationand modernizationofagricultureandruralareas.Itisimperativetopromotetheelectrification ofagriculturalmachinery.Theprospectsfortheapplicationofagriculturalmachineryindiferentscenariosarefirst explored.Then，thedemandsforelectrificationof agricultural machineryin diferent regionsandscales basedon theactual situationofagriculturaldevelopmentareanalyzed．Theimplementationpathforthelarge-scaleappicationofelectric agricultural machinery in multiple scenarios is proposed.Aditionally，basedontheleastabsolute shrinkage andselection operatorregressionmodel，thefuture trendofelectrificationofagricultural machineryispredicted.Theanalysisresults showthat therearecertaindiferences inthedevelopmentroutesofagricultural machineryelectricationindiferent applicationscenarios，itisnecessarytopromotetheelectricagriculturalmachineryinaccordancewithlocalconditions，and simultanouslybuildandupgraderelevantsupporting facilitiesbasedonthediferencesintheapplicationscenariosof electric agricultural machinery，so as to drive the large-scale application of electric agricultural machinery.

Keywords：electric agricultural machinery；regression model;scale application；carbon neutrality

0 引言

为应对化石能源危机以及全球变暖，世界各国纷纷采取措施来实现节能减排。（剩余11664字）