柘荣县乡镇温度预报订正方法研究

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作者简介 林天扬（1997—），男，福建柘荣人，助理工程师，主要从事应用气象研究。

收稿日期 2023-08-12

Study on the Correction Method of Temperature Forecast in Zherong County

Lin Tian-yang et al（Zherong Meteorological Bureau， Zherong， Fujian 355300）

Abstract From 2011 to 2020， the daily maximum and minimum temperatures of Dajian Station （Shuangcheng Town and Chengjiao Township） in Zherong County and the regional automatic stations in seven townships （Fuxi Town， Zhayang Township， Dongyuan Township， Huangbai Township， Zhazhong Township， Chuping Township and Yingshan Township） and the daily sunshine data of the National Meteorological Station are used. The multiple regression analysis method is used to construct the township temperature forecast correction equation， and the actual data from 2021～2022 is used to test the forecast effect. The comparison and analysis between the non seasonal forecast equation and the seasonal forecast equation are carried out， and the township temperature forecast correction equation suitable for Zherong County is obtained.

Key words Regional automatic station; Temperature prediction; Prediction effect; Correction

摘要 采用2011—2020年柘荣县大监站（双城镇、城郊乡）和境内7个乡镇区域自动站（富溪镇、乍洋乡、东源乡、黄柏乡、宅中乡、楮坪乡和英山乡）逐日（20：00—翌日20：00）日最高气温、日最低气温，以及国家气象站逐日日照资料。（剩余4225字）