贵阳和威宁 100m 高度风资源的多数值模式对比分析

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中图分类号：P457.5 文献标志码：A 文章编号：2095-2945（2025）28-0081-05

Abstract：Thispaperselects the 100-meter wind forecastdata from ApriltoDecember 202 from the CMA-WSP model， fromJanuarytoSeptember2021fromtheECmodel，fromJanuarytoMarch2022fromtheGRAPESmodel，andfromJanuaryto December2022fromtheGuizhoulocalWRFmodel，andadoptsrelevantstatistcalmethods toconductacomparativeanalysisof GuiyangandWeiningstations.Theresultsshowthat：WRFhasthebestforecastefectonWeiningStation，andthe100mwind forecastefectofothermodelsatGuiyangStationisbeterthanthatatWeiningStation;ECmodelhasthebestforecasteffecton 100mwindforecastatGuiyang Stationwith12-36hoursforecasttime;andEChasthebestforecasteffcton48-72hours forecast time.

Keywords：EC model; GAPES model; WRF model; CMA-WSP model; verification

作为中国风能资源潜力较大的区域之一，贵州的高空风能开发对优化能源结构、实现“双碳”目标具有重要意义II；然而，山地地形对风的加速、绕流及湍流效应，使得风场模拟与预报面临巨大挑战。（剩余5515字）