农业新质生产力对农业碳排放效率的影响机制

打开文本图片集

关键词：农业新质生产力；农业碳排放效率；超效率SBM模型；GML指数；分位数回归

中图分类号：F323.2；X24 文献标识码：A

文章编号：0439-8114（2025）12-0010-09

DOI：10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2025.12.002 开放科学（资源服务）标识码（OSID）：□

The impact mechanism of new agricultural productive forces on agricultural carbon emission efficiency

LI Xue¹，LILian-jun1，2 （1.College of Economics and Management，Jiangxi Agricultural University，Nanchang 33oooo，China； 2.InstituteofNewRuralDevelopmentResearch，JiangxiAgricultural University，Nanchang33o045，China）

Abstract： Basedontheundesirable-outputsuper-effciency SBMmodelandtheGMLindex，the spatiotemporalpatersand driving mechanismsofagriculturalcarbonemissoneficiencyacrossChineseprovinesfrom201to2023weremeasured.Theresultsshowed thatthestaticeffciencymeasuredbythesuper-eficiencSBModelexibitedsignificantregionaldiferentiation：Regionswithec logicaladvantages，suchasTbetandXinjiang，achievedthehighesteficiencywhileGansuandAnhuishowedrelativelylowicien cyduetoresoueconstraitsoexcesiveagriculuralinput；thedynamiceficincyrefltedbytheGMLindexidicatdthattehn logicallactiveregionsereprimarilydrivenbytechnologicalprogres，whereassoeesoueichegionsexperiencedadclinein technicaleffciencyevealingultifacetedonstraintsotchologimplemetation；spatialdistrbuiosoftotalfctorproductiity in2012，2016，O，and23furterdemonstratedsignificantfluctuatiosinagicuralcaboemissonefcincyica gions，resultingfromtheirfailuretoadapttotechnologicalupgradesundernaturalenvironmentandindustrialrestructuring；quantile regresioresultsindicatedtatthelaginglaborstructurehinderedthedevelopmentofhigeffciencyregions，agriculturalmchanizationfacedigneonsumptionbotlencksimedueiencyandigefecyegions，landtransferateexereduli dimensionalinhbitoryefetsoncarbonemisioneficiency，whereas theultiplecroppingindexplaedasignificantlypositivroleat high quantiles.

Keywords：newqualityagriculturalproductiveforces；agriculturalcarbonemisioneficiency；super-eficiencySBMmodel;GML index; quantile regression

在“双碳”目标背景下，农业领域已成为国际社会关注的焦点，农业活动产生的温室气体约占全球总碳排放量的 20% ，涵盖甲烷、氧化亚氮等多种类型。（剩余11650字）