基于PSO-BP神经网络的热电厂负荷预测策略研究

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中图分类号:TP311 文献标志码:A 文章编号:2095-2945(2026)01-0032-04

Abstract:Atpresent,theeficientuseofenergyandgreendevelopmenthaveatractedwidespreadatentionfromscholars. Basedonalargeamountofhistoricaldatageneratedbytheenergymanagementsystemof athermal power plant,this paper usesbigdataanalysismethodtocalculatethecoelationcoeffientbetweenthedatatojudgethecorrelationstatusbetweenthe data.APSO-BPneuralnetworkmodelisestablishedtopredicttheheatloadofathermalpowerplantinthenext24hours,in ordertobetterprovideproduction,operationmanagementanddecision-makingservicesforthethermalpowerplant.ThePSO-BP neuralnetworkmodelisproducedbyfusingparticleswarmalgorithmandBPalgorithm.Itnotonlyimprovestheprediction accuracyofBPneuralnetwork,butalsoefectivelysolvestheproblemofslowleamingspeedofBPneuralnetworkalgorithm, easyto fall into local minima,poor stability,etc.

KeyWords: big data analysis;thermal characteristics;prediction model; PSO-BP neural network; prediction accuracy

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