资源环境约束下中国农业绿色全要素生产率时空演变与影响因素分析

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关键词：农业绿色全要素生产率；资源环境约束；SBM-GML模型；时空演变中图分类号：F323.22 文献标识码：A文章编号：0439-8114（2025）05-0223-08DOI：10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2025.05.034开放科学（资源服务）标识码（OSID）：i

Analysis of the temporal and spatial evolution and influencing factors of agricultural green total factor productivity in China under resource and environmental constraints

FANRui-zhe，WANGYu-xuan （Business School，Hohai University，Nanjing 2111Oo，China）

Abstract：Basedonresourceand environmentalconstraints，theSuper-EficiencySBM-GMLmodelwasemployed to measure the AgriculturalGeeTotalFactorProductivity（AGTP）of30provincial-levelregions inChinafrom2012to2O1，andsystematicallanalyzeditsspatiotemporalevolutioncharacteristicsandinfluencingfactors.TheresultsindicatedthatChinasAGTFPdemonstratedan acceleratingupwardtrendduringO12-2021，reflectingsignificantachievementsinthegreentransformationofagriculture.Concur rently，whileCinahadmadecontiuousprogesinagiculturalgntchnologis，gricultualgreentechicaleficiencyhadown adecliningtrend，revealingacurrenttendencyof“emphasizingR&Doveraplcation”ingreentechnologypromotionandsuboptimal allcationofagrculturalresourceelements.Furthermore，theregionalcharacteristicsofAGTFPinChinawereprimarilymanifestedas disparitiesinagriculturalproductionzonesandeconomicstructures.Sixsignificantpositivefactors（includingenvironmentaleglationintensity，etc.）andonesignificantnegativefactor（agriculturalopenness）wereidentifiedbyapplyingatwo-wayfixedffects modeltoanalyzemultipleinfluencingfactors.Basedonthesefindings，policyrecommendationssuchaspromotinggreenagricultural transformationandoptimizingtheallocationofagriculturalresoueelmentswereproposedtofacliateChina’sshiftfometsive agricultural development to high-quality，sustainable growth.

Keywords：agricultural greentotalfactorproductivityresourceandenvironmentalconstraints；SBM-GMLmodel;spatiotemporal evolution

农业可持续发展作为关乎国家粮食安全与民生福祉的重要战略议题，在21世纪中国粮食总产量持续增长的背景下，其现实必要性日益凸显，现阶段传统农业生产模式所依赖的要素驱动型增长方式已呈现出显著的不可持续性特征。（剩余11753字）