县域农业高质量发展评价及收敛性分析基于山东省的实证分析

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关键词：农业高质量发展；评价体系；收敛性分析；熵权法；Delphi法；山东省县域中图分类号：F323.3；F327 文献标识码：A文章编号：0439-8114（2025）05-0215-08DOI：10.14088/j.cnki.issn0439-8114.2025.05.033

开放科学（资源服务）标识码（OSID）：

Evaluation and convergence analysis of high-quality agricultural development at the county level： An empirical analysis based on Shandong Province

YIN Fang，GUO Shi-juan，YANG Li-ping，WANG Zhao-hua，WEI Qing-gang （InstituteofAgriculturalInformationandEconomics，handongAcademyofAgiculturalciences，Jinan5oo，China）

Abstract：Selectingthecountyas teunitofanalysis，theconvergenetheorywasaplidtoscientificallyanalyzethegapsandtrends ofinter-regionalagriculturaldevelopment.Teresarchasbasedontreedimensionsoftheagriculturalindustry，productionadoperation，with16secondary indicatorscovered.Taking ShandongProvince asanexample，theentropy-weight methodandthe Delphi methodwereusedtoquantitativelyevaluatetheindicatorsweights，andthenthehighqualitydevelopmentindexofcounty-levelagriculturewascalculated.TheresultsshowedthatagriculturaldevelopmentinthecountiesofShandongProvincewas generallatalow levelsituatedintheprimarysageofigqualityagriculturaldevelopment，etitehitedanupwardtrend.Andotablesaialo relations among regional agricultural development were observed. Through β -absolute convergence and α- convergence tests，it was foundthatwhileregionaldisparitiesinagriculturaldevelopmentshowedanexpandingtrend，significantcatch-upphenomenaisted betwencounties.TheresearchconcludedthatShandong’sagriculturalhigh-qualitydevelopmentremainedinitsinitialphase，with inter-countydevelopmentgapsexpetedtograduallyarrowovertime.Iwasrecommendedthatcountiesshouldleveragelocalrsouresandgeographicaladvantagesctielydoptiformationthnologndientificmethds，ndpromotethnologialiegatio to agricultural practices to advance the province's agricultural modernization.

KeyWords：agriculturalhigh-qualitydevelopment；evaluationsystem；convergenceanalysis；entropymethod;Delphimethod；counties of Shandong Province

农业是国民经济的基础，它不仅关系到人民群众的食品安全和生活质量，还与生态环境的可持续性和地区均衡发展紧密相连。（剩余11860字）