中国县域农业全要素生产率的增长测算动力解构与区域异质性分析

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中图分类号：F323 文献标志码：A 文章编号：2096-9902（2026）05-0111-06

Abstract：Basedonabalancedpaneldatasetof 409Chinesecountiesfrom2013to2O2O，thisstudyemploysthesequential DEA-Malmquistindexmodeltosystematicallymeasurethegrowthcharacteristicsofagriculturaltotalfactorproductivity（P）and decomposeitintofrontiertechnologicalprogress，puretechnicalfciency，andscaleeficiencyrevealingregionalheterogeeity anditsdriving mechanisms.Thefindingsindicatethatduringthesample period，county-levelagriculturalTFPgrewatan average annual rate of 1.1% ，significantlybelowthe national average，exhibiting a"efficiency-driven，technology-lagging" extensive growth pattrn.Pure technical efficiency，with an average annual growth of 1.1% ，wasthe primary driver，while scale eficienypartialloseegativeimpactoffrotiertchnologicalprogress.Ateegioalleveltheasteregionacieved coordinated growth in technology，eficiency，and scale（average annual rateof 0.95% ）;thecentral region experienced volatile TFP， constrainedbyasignificantdeclineinfrontiertechnologicalprogress；thewesternregionmaintainedsteadygrowththrough technologicaladvancement;andthenortheasternregiondisplayedabnormalfluctuationsduetoresourceconsraintsandtechnical adaptationisues.Testudyrevealsthatfrontiertechnologicalprogresservesasthe"coreanchor"foragriculturalTPgrowthat thecountylevel，butthedrivingpatesvaryregionallThisresearchprovidesmicro-levelempiricalsupportforforulating diferentiatedagriculturalquality-improvementandefciency-enhancementpoliciesandfosteringnewagriculturalproductivity.

Keywords：countiesinChina;agriculturaltotalfactorproductivity;serialDEA-Malmquistindex；regionalheterogeneity；New Quality Productive Forces in agricultural

农业作为国民经济的基础产业，不仅是保障国家粮食安全的战略支撑，也是推动乡村振兴、实现农业农村现代化的重要抓手。（剩余7813字）