土地流转对农业碳排放影响的实证研究

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中图分类号：F327 文献标志码：A 文章编号：2096-9902（2026）05-0103-04

Abstract：Toexploretheimpactoffactorsrelatedtolandtransferonagriculturalcarbonemissionsandfacilitatethelowcarbontransformationofagriculture，thisstudyconductsanempiricalanalysisusingrelevantdatafrom2010to2O24，combined withtheADFunitrottestandOLSregresion.Theresultsshowthat：thelandtransferrateisacoreandsignificantfactor inhibitigagriculturalcarbonemisions，andeach1-unitincreaseinthelandtransferratecansignificantlyreducecarbon emissions，which passes the test at the 1% significance level， confirming the emission reduction effect of centralized resource utilizationandoptimizedfarmingpracticesafterlandtransfer;thelandtransferscale（anditsinteractiontermwithtechology types）slightlyincreasescarbonemisiosinheshorttem，buttheimpactmagnitudeisrelativelylimited;teemisionruction efectof technologytypeshasnotytbeenfullymanifested，andtheinhibitoryefectofpolicysubsidiesoncarbonemissonshas notreachedstatisticalsignificance，bothofwhicharerelatedtothecurentinsuficienttechnologymatchingandlackofsubsidy accuracy.Basedonthesefindings，thisstudyputsforwardsuggestionsincludingpromotingtheorderlylandtransferwith supporting low-carbonmanagement，optimizingthelow-carbonconnectionoftransferscale，accuratelymatchingthesuplyof low-carbontechnologies，andupgradingthesubsidyincentivemechanism，soastoprovidereferencesforthelow-carbon development of agriculture.

Keywords：land transfer;agricultural carbon emission;low carbon; linear regression; empirical research

随着我国乡村振兴战略深入实施及“双碳”目标推进与《农业农村减排固碳实施方案》出台，土地流转作为农业规模化经营的关键路径，其碳效应存在“规模扩张增排"与“效率提升减排"的争议。（剩余5203字）