基于GIS与Markov模型的土地利用结构变化特征研究

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关键词GIS技术；Markov模型；土地利用结构；变化特征

中图分类号F301.2 文献标识码A

文章编号 0517-6611（2025）16-0049-04

doi：10.3969/j.issn.0517-6611.2025.16.010

AbstractObjective]TakingtheKareainthenorthwestregionasanexample，whichincludes multiplelandusetypes，GISand Markov modelsareusedtoanalyzethecharacteristicsoflndusestructurechangesinthisarea.Method]ByusingGIStechnologytodeterine te testingareaoflandintheKarea，calculatethedyamicdegreeofcomprehensivelanduse，ndcombinethechangesindynamicdgee to measurethelanduseofsetintheKareaaccordingtothescaningnodesstbyGS.Guidedbytheofset，calculatethemaximuplaqueindex，use Markovmodelandmaximumplaqueindextopredict theglobalplaqueposition，andfurtercalibratetheplaquelocationBasedon thedegreofgegatio（odispesion）ofspatialdistrbutionteevolutioaryalysistodisudatloatiooflndatchltiontosummataacestioflnducuegitKaeteeliodoiudaly cationdegrendcoplexityoftructuralchangsofthelandparcels.Result]econtributionateofchangsinwaterbodiesandothrland types within 9O days in K area is relatively high，all exceeding 12% ，the change intensity of paddy fields，dry land， forest land，grassland， water bodies，towns，other land typesin area can reach 1.8% and a balance degree of O.75.[Conclusion] The land structure in K area is gradualleogalladiiacalddefuctualgbiltd changes neachblockhasbeeniproved，andtheoverallsructuralchangesshowapositiverelationship，withgooduilizatioffects.

Key wordsGIS technology;Markov model;Land use structure;Change characteristics

土地利用结构反映了土地资源的配置状况和比例划分，其变化特征与日常的发展关联紧密。（剩余5442字）