大豆种植行为选择：来自政策·价格和劳动力约束的综合响应检验

打开文本图片集

中图分类号 S-01;G642.0 文献标识码A

文章编号 0517-6611（2025）18-0231-05

doi： 10.3969/j.issn.0517-6611.2025.18.049

Soybean Planting Behavioral Choices： A Combined Response Test from Policy，Price and Labor Constraints

LIU Hong-meng，YUZhen-wei（ScholofEconomicsandManagement，NortheastForestryUniversity，Harbin，Heilongjangl50040） AbstractBasedontheprovincialdynamicpaneldataof18soybeanproductionareasfromtoO22，theNerlovesupplyesposemodel andsystematicGMestimationmethodareusedtontroduceproducersubsidypolicyandlabrconstraintvariables toconstructadyamicsupplyresponsemodeloffaers’sobeanandexplorethedegreeofesponseofers’sobeaplantingdecisiostopricendopricfc tors，andtheresultssotat：rers’sobeanpantingalwaysmaintainaighdegreeofpricesesitityteicreaseinepriceofopetingcropsandtheincreaseinthecostofproductionhasanegativeimpactonthesupplyofsoybeantofmers；thetransferofon-faring alsoncreasesteicoeoffers，toertaineentasestcostraintsotesulyofsbeantofmesoftostofltural productionutilstfllthgaiepctofsveeasinglbesrtsoslyofs；licyf subsidiesforsobanproducrs toobltfesplantingsobeaetusiasmmprovethesoybeanaketpriceechansfectiely promotetheexpasionofplantingsale.Threforeitiscommededtofoulateaasonablepricesupportpolicytoncoragefsto formreasonablepriceexpetatiosctielyprooteteeseachnddevelontofulturalmachneryechologandiatiod improvetheconstuctionofagiculturalpductiosevicesstem，hileimproingthesbeanproducesbsidypolicy，topromoteaviou cycle of soybean supply.

Key wordsSoybean supply;Producer subsidy policy;Labor constraints;Nerlove model;System GMM estimation

大豆是我国重要的粮油和饲料兼用作物，对于保障“大食物观”下的国家粮食安全具有重要的战略地位。（剩余11061字）