“一带一路”倡议 沿线国纺织品出口潜力分析

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中图分类号：F752.62 文献标志码：A DOI： 10.13714/j.cnki.1002-3100.2025.12.025

Abstract：Sincethereformandopeningup，thetextileandgarmentindustryhasbeenthepillr industryofour national economy. However，inrecentyears，duetotheriseofemerging marketsandtheriseoflaborandrawmaterialcosts，theadvantagesof China'stextileandgarmentexporttradehavegraduallweakened，andtheinternationalmarketshareisalsodeclining.This paperfirstanalyzesthecuentsituationofChina'stextileandgarmentexportstothcountriesalongtheBeltandRoadInitative， thenexaminestheimpactofGDP，populationanddistanceonexporttradebybuildingatradegravitymodel，andcalculatesthe expectedtradevalueofthesamplecountries.Tradepotentialisobtainedbycomparingactualtradevaluewithexpectedtrade value.ThestudyfindsthatthecountriesalongtheBeltandRoadInitiativearemainlypioneeringcountrieswithtradepotential， among which the CentralandEastern Europehasalarge potentialandalargespaceforexploration，andcan beusedas a key layoutareaofChina.Basedonthis，thispaperputsforwardsomeconcretesugestionsonpromotingtextileandgarmentexport trade.

Key words：the Belt and Road Initiative;textile and garment exports;trade gravity model; export trade potential

0引言

中国是纺织品和服装生产大国，拥有雄厚的生产技术、资源优势和劳动力优势。（剩余9089字）