数字经济对产业链韧性的空间效应研究

——来自中国283个地级市的经验证据

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中图分类号：F49 文献标志码：A DOI： 10.13714/j.cnki.1002-3100.2025.12.019

Abstract：Basedonthedataof283prefecture-levelcitiesin China from2012to2021，thepaperconstructsthegeographic weightmatrixofubaneonomysesspatialautocorelationandspatialDurbinodeltovifytheaglomeraionharacteristics andspatialeectsofdigitalonomyandindustrialchainesilienc，andapliesspatitemporalgogapicallyweightedsion torevealtheheterogeneityoftheirdevelopment.Theresearchresultsarelistedblow.First，theindustrialtoughnessanddigital economyof283prefecture-levelciesinChinaallshowasignificantpositvecorelationagregationstate，andthecitiesinthe thirdquadrantareactivelyleaping tothefirstquadrant，withanoverallpositivetrend.Second，thedigitaleconomyafectsthe industrychaintoughnessinaninvertedU-shapedrelationship，whichisfistpromotedandthensuppressedandisfectedby economicdevelopment，openinguptotheoutsideworld，urbanization，marketization，governmentintervention，andthedegreeof education.Third，thereisasignificantspatialspiloverefectbetweenthedigialeconomyandindustrychaintoughnessThe enhancementof thelocaldigialeconomyandindustrychainresiliencewillhaveacertainradiationpromotionefectonthe neighboringregions.Fourth，theefectofthedigitalconomyonindustrychaintoughnessisspatiallyheterogeneous，witha weakereffectonthe toughnessofcentral citiesandastronger effectonthe toughnessof easternand westerncities.

Key Words： digital economy; industry chain resilience; spatiotemporal evolution; spatial effects

0引言

当今世界经济格局多变。（剩余9922字）