昌吉州西部平原区人类活动强度与地下水埋深时空关联分析

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关键词：地下水资源；人类活动强度；空间自相关；可持续管理；昌吉州中图分类号：TV213.4；TV822.1 文献标志码：A doi：10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.08.021引用格式：，.昌吉州西部平原区人类活动强度与地下水埋深时空关联分析[J].人民黄河，2025，47（8）：128-133

Spatial-Temporal Association and Driving Analysis of Human Activity Intensity and Groundwater Level in the Western Plain of Changji Prefecture

WEI Yi1， ZHANG Yongming² （1.Northwest Municipal Enginering Design and Research Institute Co.，Ltd.， Xi'an 710O16， China; 2.Gansu Province Water Conservancy Science Research Institute，Lanzhou 73Oooo，China） Abstract：Tissudyivestigatdthesatialemporaloreltioractersticsteengroundaterlevlagesndteitesityof manactivisinteesteplainofCangjiPrefeturefrootGoundwaterdepthterpolationasonductedusgteda Kriging method，daunActiviytesity（H）modelwasiltbegratingutipleidicatorssuchsolatiodsityio al grossdomesticprouct，electrityonsumptionandteproportionofostructioandcultiatedlandarea.Thesdymplodec troidmigratiooelvateoatialtocoalsalstrbtiaracestidutalf groundwaterdepthandhumanactiitensityinspaceandtime.Thresultsindicatethatteoverllgroundwaterlevelinthesudyarea showstrendofinitialdecliefllosbyanicreasSpecifically，teareawithgoundwaterdepthgreaterthan6metersisaccoutedfor （20 6.96% in 2000，is increases to 15.51% in 2015，and then decreased to 12.22% iny 202O. The proportion of areas with high human activity intensity increases from 1.03% in 2000 to 3.41% in 2020，and the proportion of areas with medium to high intensity increased from 35.36% （204 in 2000 to 50.72% in 2020.Thecorrelation analysis revealsasignificantpositive spatial agglomerationbetween thespatial-temporal changes of groundatervelsdanactivittesityspeialiesoutrgioretereisaighoncentrationofpulatioad nomiacti，hiigaigglomeratioacteristicdditioall，tectrodsofthgoundaterepthstrutiod human activity intensity are generally migrated from the southeast to the northwest direction.

KeyWords：goundwateresources；humanactivityintensity；spatialautoorelation；sustaablemanagement；ChangiPrefecture

0 引言

地下水资源对维持生态系统平衡和支撑社会经济发展具有重要作用，尤其是我国西北干旱和半干旱地区，降水稀少，地表水资源匮乏，地下水资源是农业灌溉、工业生产和居民生活的主要水源[1]。（剩余9272字）