黄河流域城市群碳排放与经济增长脱钩及减排路径研究

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关键词：碳排放；Tapio脱钩指数；LMDI模型；碳减排路径；黄河流域城市群中图分类号：X171.1；TV882.1 文献标志码：A doi：10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.08.013引用格式：秦小转，郭淑君，张志强，等.黄河流域城市群碳排放与经济增长脱钩及减排路径研究[J].人民黄河，2025，47（8）：76-82，145.

Study on Carbon Decoupling with Economic Growth and Carbon Emission Reduction Path of Urban Agglomeration in Yellow River Basin

QIN Xiaozhuan¹，GUO Shujun²，ZHANG Zhiqiang³，WANG Weiwei³，WEI Yujie4，SI Wenqing4，ZHANG Xiuyu’，TAO Jie 6 （204号 （1.School of Materialsand Chemical Engineering，Zhengzhou Universityof Technology，Zhengzhou 450044，China; 2.Huijin Bureauof Zhengzhou YellowRiver Bureau，Zhengzhou 45oo03，China；3.Colegeof Surveying and Geo-Informatics， North ChinaUniverstyof WaterResourcesandElectricPower，Zhengzhou45O6，China;4.Henan HydrologyandWaterResourcesCente Zhengzhou450o03，China;5.Colegeof Water Resources，North China Universityof WaterResources and Electric Power， Zhengzhou450046，China；6.ScholofWaterConservancyandTransportation，ZhengzhouUniversityZhengzhou450o，China）

Abstract：InordertorevealthedecouplingefectsofcarbonemissonsinurbanagglomerationswitinteYelowRiverBasin（YRB）and identifytheiruencgfctors，tissudyidtoprovidesietificasisforfoulatingectiearbodutiopoliddvancedthenatioaltratefologicalprotectionadigquaitydevelopentinteRB.InthissudyteTapiodecouplingdeodelandLMDIodelwerecomprehensivelyadoptedtoanalzethedecouplingstatusofarbonemissosofuranaglomeratiosinheYRB andtheirtempoalandstialcagesentifectorstingthabodoupgofubaoratiosndoe tionsforthegrenandlow-carbondevelopmentofubanaglomerations.Theresultsshowthat：a）from200lto2O2O，thecarboneisions ofallurbanagglomeratiosinteYRBareontheise，andecarbonmissosfromigtolowareShandongPeninsulaurbanagglorations，Centralsubloatios，aoglainbaloeaios，an-Xiubnloatios，ngul tions，Hu-Bao-YuurbanaglomeratiosndingiaYaangurbaalomeraios.b）hetyeofcarbondecouplinginuanagloe ationsintheYRBisinlyeak，utthecarbondecouplingidexgenerallyincreasesfromtietoie.Terefore，acodingtotheiting economicdevelopntpate，thecooicevelopentofuanglomeratiointeYRBisdifltoetridofthdepndcefos silnergynthesortte，andtheadtocarboneisionreductionisstllalongaytogo.c）Energintensity，percapitaGech logicalleveldlaiaacitfalooatseopligofbo banaglomeatiositintB.Improingefcndechologicalcapabilityptiingidustraucedge populationcaingapacityofthealcoomycaneectivelypromoteaniealdcouplngeteeonomicgrowthadcarboneios.

Keywords：carbonemsions；Tapiecouplingindex;LMDodel;；carbonemissonreductionpath；YelowRiverBasinubanagloration

0 引言

2020年9月22日，我国政府在第七十五届联合国大会上提出我国2030年碳达峰、2060年碳中和的“双碳”目标，我国经济从此进入低碳转型的快车道[]。（剩余10346字）