基于PLUS模型的西安市多情景生态系统服务价值评估

关键词生态系统服务价值；PLUS模型；多情景模拟；土地利用；西安市

中图分类号X171.1文献标识码A

文章编号 0517-6611（2025）08-0047-08

doi：10.3969/j.issn.0517-6611.2025.08.011

开放科学（资源服务）标识码（OSID）：

AbstractTakingXi’anastheresearcharea，thePLUSmodelandequivalentfactormethodwereemployedtosimulatelanduse paters underdierentsenariosin03andevalateteirecosystemservicevalue（ESV）.hersultshowedthattheKappacoefientofheLU model was O.862，the FOM value was O.14，and the overall accuracy was 9 1 . 6 1 % ，and the simulation effect was good.From 2000 to 2020，forest andcultivatedlandweretheaintypesfanduseinXi’anteaeaofwatrandwetlandcontiuedtoincreasehilethareaofculivated landndgrassandsoedowardtrendehanginlandtiillbedominaedbytedecreaseofivatedlanddalandadescddiidluaet scenarioUnderoicalpoteeapaateostildastadofrst terareaandetlandwithologicalfuncisicreasdteostunderteoomicevelopmentodel，tedlierateofultitedland wasthelargesttegrothateofwaterdwendastsalestamongteesenaosndteothatefostrutiolandas thelargest.ThVudertheatualdvelopent，olicalproteioadocprrteaisin3as6708loa 68，361.34mlnd6lloaspiely，llfeasediApotao growthwasthtiusiceaeineaofforestatedtasesilatioofoocprorityenadolicalote tionscenariosprovdsaeferefrtesupplyofostesicsuderdealonditiosndteatualdevelopntsceaosaer balancetheoflictetwnolgcallnddprodutioandlivingndichisoreinlineittfuturedvelopentdictoofla use in Xi'an.

Key wordsEcosystem service value；PLUS model； Multi scenario simulation；Land use；Xi'an City

生态系统服务是生态系统及其过程为确保人类生存而形成的自然环境条件与效用[1]。（剩余11423字）