凉山州三驾马车推动经济增长动态关系研究

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中图分类号：F127 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1004-0714（2025）06-0092-09

AStudyon the Dynamic Relationship of ThreeCarriages Driving Economic Growth in Liangshan Prefecture

ZHANGZhenmin，LUMingning，ZHOUXingtao （XichangCollege，6l5ol3，Xichang，Sichuan，China）

Abstract：Among the 21 prefecture-level cities in Sichuan Province，Liangshan Prefecture has outstanding resourceendowmentandlocation advantages，playingan important roleinpromoting regional economicand social development.This paper collects and collates thedata of Gross Domestic Product ofLiangshan Prefecture，investmentinfixedassetsofthewholesociety，totalretailsalesofconsumer goodsandtotalimports andexportsfrom200to2022indifferentyears，usestheco-integrationtestmethodandtheerror-corrected modeltoanalyzethelong-termand short-term equilibriumrelationships between variables，atthe same time， Exploringthedynamicrelationshipanddegree of influence between these variablesthrough VARmodels，use Granger test toclarifythecausal relationship between them.On thebasis of clarifying the dynamic relationshipbetween grossdomesticproduct，investment infixedassetsofthewholesociety，total retailsales of consumer goods and totalimportsand exports，proposeda focus of keyonthe promoting effect of total importsandexports volume and total retail sales of consumer goods on economic growth，At the same time，we should continue to promote investment in fixed assets of the whole society to achieve economic growth，And balance the relationship between investment and consumption. The research results provide strong theoreticalsupport for proposing strategies and measures in promoting high-quality economic growthin Liangshan Prefecture.

Keywords：Liangshan Prefecture; Economic Growth; Three Carriages; Dynamic Relationships

一、引言

2022年凉山州GDP突破2000亿元关口，未来凉山州经济发展如何进一步发挥好资源优势，切实做好资源能源、特色农业、文化旅游“三篇大文章”，积极推进工业强州、农业强州、文旅强州“三大强州战略”，实现地区经济高质量发展，需要梳理消费、投资、进出口推动经济增长的情况。（剩余13390字）