考虑负荷适应度的“源网荷储”优化调度方法研究

打开文本图片集

引用格式：，，.考虑负荷适应度的“源网荷储"优化调度方法研究[J].现代电子技术，2025，48（10）：103-108.

关键词：源网荷储；风电功率预测；负荷适应度；优化调度；多时段模糊熵；经验模态分解中图分类号：TN911.7-34；TM73 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1004-373X（2025）10-0103-06

Abstract：Asarelativelyindependentpower generationandconsumptionunit，itisparticularlyimportantforthe"soure network loadstorage"tooptimize thejointscheduling methodof"windsolarstorage"，soas tomaximizetheconsumptionof new energypower.Asfarasthethemeof grid-connectedpowerplaningforthewindandsolarstorageisconcerned，amethodof "sourcenetwork loadstorage"optimal schedulingconsideringloadadaptabilityisproposed basedonwindandsolar power generationpower forecasting andregionalloadchange trendcorrelationresearch.Atthedatasourceend，theadaptiveneural fuzzyalgorithmwithempiricalmodedecompositionandgeneticalgorithm（EMD-GA-ANFIS）isusedforthewindpower prediction，whilethegainsgmentednormaldistributionfiting（GS-GD）techniqueisusedforthephotovoltaicpowerprediction. Inoptimizingtheschedulingprocess，aloadfitnessfactorisintroducedtodynamicallycorrecttheinitialpowergenration schedulingcontroldata.Themulti period fuzzyentropy（MFE）isused tocharacterizethedeviationtrendofwindsolarstorage jointpowerprediction，dynamicalladjusttheenergystoragethroughput，andimprovethespacefornewenergyconsumption.The feasibilityoftheproposedmethodisverfiedbyacaseanalysisusingtheactualdataofasourcenetworkloadstorage"project inapark.Furthermore，usingtheactualdataofthe"sourcenetworkloadstorage"projectinacertainpark，caseanalysisresults showthat：whenconsideringtheloadchangetime，thepeak electricityconsumptionaccountsforthedailycycle，theadjustment range isset to 10% ，thecapacityreaches the minimum value of 21.2491kWh，with a decrease of 18.36%，which verifies the feasibility of the proposed method.

Keywords：source network load storage;wind and solar power prediction;loadadaptability；optimizescheduling;multi period fuzzy entropy;empirical mode decomposition

0 引言

随着全电网新能源发电容量占比攀升，分布式发电项目接入电网比例持续增加，加剧了电网不稳定运行风险。（剩余7657字）