基于复杂网络的我国农产品进口供应链脆弱性仿真分析
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中图分类号：F274 文献标志码：A DOI： 10.13714/j.cnki.1002-3100.2025.09.027
Simulation Analysisof Vulnerabilityof China'sAgricultural Import Supply Chain Based on Complex Networks
LI Chenlong， WANG Yonggang， SUN Jiajia， LIU Haibin， CHEN Kejun（College of Management Engineering， Zhengzhou University of Aeronautics， Zhengzhou 45oo46， China）
Abstract：WiththecontinuousgrowthofChina’sintemationaltradeinagriculturalproductsandtheincreasingcomplexityofthe globalsupplychain，thestabilityandsustainabilityof Chinasagriculturalproductsimportsupplychainisfacing majorchallnges. Basedoncomplexnetworktheory，thispapersimulatesandanalyzes China’sagricultural productsimportsuplychain，firstly，con structsthesuplychainnetworkthroughtheconnetionmodeofBAscale-freenetworkandpartillyrandomconnectionmode， adoptsthedegreeofnetworknodestomeasuretheimportanceofthenodesinthenetworkandthenobservesthechangesofthe threenetworkieofustenfnttwokoicyndaialiviininteioalda domatackstoanalyzethevulnerabilityofthenetwork.Thevulnerabityofthenetworkisanalyzedbyobservingthechangesin thethreenetworkinicatorsofusteringcoeffcent，etorkcoectionfciencyandmaximmconnetivityunderintntioalat tackandrandomatack，andtheresultsshowthat：Whenthe"coreenterprise”isatacked，theagregationdegreeofnterprises inthesuplychainofChina’sagriculturalproductsimportsdereasesaswellasthespeedof informationtransferandlogistics eficiencydecreases，resultingintheincreaseoflogisticscosts.However，theimpactonteoverallconnectivityoftheetworkis small.Relevantpolicyrecommendationsareputforwardtostrengthentheprotectionofsupplychain"coreenterprises"，enhance the flexibility of the logistics service supply chain， and diversify the supply chain.
Key words： agricultural products; import supply chain; vulnerability; complex network; simulation analysis
0引言
我国是人口大国，保障农产品的稳定供应是关乎国计民生的根本性问题。（剩余8701字）