基于AHP-BN的新能源电池试验动态风险分析

打开文本图片集

中图分类号：U467 收稿日期：2025-04-02 DOI： 10.19999/j.cnki.1004-0226.2025.05.014

Dynamic Risk Analysis of New Energy Battery Laboratory Based on AHP-BN

Ma Xinyu Gao Tian CATARCAutomotive Test Center（Wuhan）Co.，Ltd.，Wuhan430o50，China

Abstract：Thesafetyriskassessmentofnewenergybatterylaboratoryisveryimportanttoensurethetestprocess.BasedonAHPBNcouplingmethod，afourdimesioalidexsstecoveringpersoel，quipent，vioentandaagementisostructed. Theanalytichierarchyprocess（AHP）resultsshowedthathepersonnelfactor（weightO.39）andthedamagedegreofsamplesafter testing（weightO.14）hadthemostsignificantimpactonthesafetyrisk.ThedynamicprobabilityanalysiscombinedwithBayesiannetwork shows that the probability of test safety risk is 24.73% ，in which the level of personnel operation，battery SOC status and safety awarenessaretekeyinfluencingfactors.Thismethodefectivelyintegratestheadvantagesofsubjectieandobjectiveevaluatioand puts forward targetedimprovementmeasures，suchasstrengthening persoeltraining，optimizingsampledetectionprocessandrealtimemonitoringofbatery status，whichcanprovide decisionsupportforthesafety management ofnewenergybaterylaboratory.

Keywords：Newenergybattery;AHP;BN;Riskanalysis

1前言

随着我国能源结构转型加速，新能源汽车产业已成为实现“双碳”目标的核心领域1。（剩余6758字）