基于Prophet与二次移动平均的生鲜前置仓产能预测模型研究

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中图分类号:F259.27 文献标志码:A DOI: 10.13714/j.cnki.1002-3100.2025.18.001

Research on theProduction CapacityForecasting Model inFresh Food Front Warehouses Based on Prophet and Double Moving Average

WANGYunhe(Basic TeachingDepartment,Liaoning Technical University,Huludao 125iOo,China)

Abstract: Ahievingproductiocapacityforecasts ithacertanevelofaccuracycanefetielyhelpfreshfoodretailenterprseduce costsandimproveeiencyAddressngactualusi,prorityustfrstbeivntsuringmodelinterpretabilitytalatete implementatiosasitablsiubsetlyoasactgospodto purposeofforecasting.Thepaperproposesaforecastingmodelcombining Prophetanddoublemovingaverage.TheProphetalgoritm captures trendmpoentsasonalitydiyectstddressthesortoingoftedoubleoingvragodelielding thefinalcapacityfrecast.Expermentalresultsdmonsrte tatomparedtobenchmark models,this methodnotonlybenitsbusine implementation but also posses good accuracy, providing decision support for enterprise capacity planning.

Key words: Prophet; double moving average; fresh food retail; production capacity prediction

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