基于耦合数值模型的降雨诱发滑坡-泥石流危险性评价

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关键词：耦合数值模型；泥石流；动态演进过程；危险性评价；黄河上游中图分类号：P642.2；TV882.1 文献标志码：A doi：10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.07.011引用格式：，，，等.基于耦合数值模型的降雨诱发滑坡-泥石流危险性评价[J].人民黄河，2024，46（7）：66-72，77.

Risk Assessment of Rainfall-Induced Landslide-Debris Flow Based on Coupled Numerical Model

ZHAO Chencheng 1，2 ，LI Xiuzhen’，LI Quanlin 1，2 ，GONG Junhao 1，2 ， SUN Jianguo 3 ， ZHANG Shizhe 1，2 （1.Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment，Chinese Academy of Sciences，Chengdu ，China;

2.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences，Beijing 10oo49，China：

3.China Railway Changjiang Transport Design Group Co.，Ltd.，Chongqing ，China）

Abstract：ThegeomorhicandgologicalconditionsinteupperreachesofteYelowRiverareharacteriedbycomplexityandfragilty Disasterssuchbsudifalletsrefrtlyddittoc VillgedebrisflowofGideCountylocatedontheupperreachesofteYelowRiver，wasseletedastheprimaryresearchfocusinthis study.Basedoooflevatdataieldivstigatiosndmoessingtepretatondplogicaldcal staisticalodels，nludingte，low-，ndO-odels，oectiobetwnladslidesanddebrisfowwastablis， withparticularempasisplacedonteoleofinaliducedlanslidesastematerialsoucefdebrisflows.Acouplednumercalodel describngthedamicevolutioofaifallnduedladslidesndebrisflowsadeveloped，ndthdaiciskofrlianGulldebs flow，uderaarifallsearoaatiaieledoupdodltolcoatedeiueneftcgo conditionsoftedisasterevirometonthdebrisfowsoucebutalsoaountedforthedamicmaterialsourceprovidedbyal-in duced landslides.

Key words： coupled numerical model; debris flow；evolution process； risk assessment；upper Yellow River

0 引言

随着全球气候变化的加剧，暴雨等极端天气事件的发生频次不断增多，目前降雨诱发的滑坡-泥石流等灾害的研究越来越引起国内外学者的广泛关注和高度重视[1]。（剩余13174字）