基于逻辑回归模型的黄河上游段滑坡易发性分析

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关键词：滑坡易发性；逻辑回归模型；影响因子；黄河上游段中图分类号：X43;TV882.1 文献标志码：A doi：10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.07.006引用格式：，，，等.基于逻辑回归模型的黄河上游段滑坡易发性分析[J].人民黄河，2025，47（7）：35-39

Analysis of Landslide Susceptibility in the Upper Reaches of the Yellow River Based on Logistic Regression Model

ZHANG Huarui1， YU Bo2 ， XU Peng1， ZENG Feixiangl （1.Guiyang Engineering Corporation Limited，Power China，Guiyang 55Oo81，China； 2.Hydropower and Water Resources Planning & Design General Institute，Power China，Beijing 1Oo12O，China）

Abstract：ForthelandslidedsasterinthesetionfromChada VillgetoSongbaVillageintheuppereachesofteYelowRivralogistic regresiomodlwasstablishdtoonductasysteaticalisofitssuseptibilitasdoeasisoftedsaster-pregntio ment，eightinfluencingfactors，includingNormalizedDferenceVegetationIndex（NDVI），DigitalElevationModel（DE），slope， aspect，precipiatio，emperatueoundtemperaturendBAS-SARtseriessurfacedfoatiodatawereselectedtoldadicatorsystemfndslidusceptibilitalysisubeqentlytnaylstceionodelsutldteleioatitie relationshipsbetweenteseifluencngfactorsadthoccurenceoflandslides.Inodertofurterrefineteresearch，spatialcosistency processing was peformedonlocal influencingfactors，and 362 landslidegrid points，covering atotal areaof aproximately 2.855km2 were established.Teessonitsdgessatiosforchifuengfactoetnetedyusigtelistic regresionmodelinalltheoccurenceprobabilityoflandslideazadsinthestudyareawasderivdbyusingteprobabilistciplicit function.Basedonteultsbtaindfroelgsticgresionodel，esatialdisrbutionpsoflandslidesseptbilitinthe studyareawerisussdItifondathigskresarealyoncentratdinegosithsteeeinoegeatioo harsh meteorological conditions.

Keywords：landslidesusceptibility；logistic susceptibilitymode；influencingfactors；upper reachesontheYelowRiver

0 引言

滑坡作为一种具有重大破坏性的自然灾害，在全球范围内广泛分布，对人类生命财产安全构成严重威胁[]。（剩余5661字）