基于系统动力学的产业结构升级与人才配置机制研究

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中图分类号：F121.3；C964.2 文献标识码：A doi：10.3969/j.issn.1672-2272.202506035

The Research on Industrial Structure Upgrading and Talent Allocation Mechanism Based on System Dynamics

Lan Anqi， Jia Haonan （School of Information Management，Xinjiang University of Finance&Economics，Urumqi 83ool2，China）

Abstract： Under the new development paradigm of dual circulation，the synergy between industrial structural upgrading and talent allocation is crucial for high-quality economic development. This study employs system dynamics theory to construct a multi-dimensional feedback system model encompassing "industry-innovation-capital-talent". Utilizing panel data，seven policy scenarios were designed-talent application-oriented，economic development-driven，government-led， technological innovation-focused，and market competition-oriented-and simulated using Vensim software. The analysis specifically examines the dynamic impact of four driving dimensions （market， technology， organization，and capital） on industrial upgrading. The results indicate that the talent application-oriented scheme exerts the most significant optimization efect on industrial structural upgrading. The economic development-driven and technological innovation-focused schemes demonstrate moderate positive effects，while the government-led and market competition-oriented schemes yield relatively limited impacts. The research reveals the core role of talent as the principal actor within the system， providing a theoretical foundation and decision-making insights for optimizing industrial upgrading pathways and cultivating high-level talent.

Key Words：System Dynamics; Industry-Talent System;Talent Allocation

0 引言

党的二十大报告指出，“坚持高水平对外开放，加快构建以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局”，这一指导思想成为适应国内外经济形势变化，实现中国经济高质量发展的战略指引[1。（剩余13077字）