湖南省农业碳排放影响因素及其脱钩效应研究

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中图分类号：F327 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1006-060X（2025）09-0093-08

Abstract：Compreensivelyconsideringtheinputandoutputofallagriculturalfactorsandtheentireproductionproce，tecabon emissionsof agriculturein HunanProvincefrom2015 to2023arecalculatedandanalyzed.TheLMDIdecompositionmethodbased onthe time-varying parameterC-DproductionfunctionandtheTapiodecoupling modelareadopted toexplorethe influencingfactors ofagriculturalbnemissiosinHnanProvineandthecoupingstatus，andorrspondngstrateicsggesiosareputfoard， soas topromotethe greendevelopmentofagricultureinHunanProvice，amajoragriclturalprovine，andachievethe"dualcarbon" goals.Researchfindingsshowthatfrom2O15to2O23，agriculturalcarbonemisions inHunan Provincehavebeenontherise，while theoverallintensityofagriculturalcarbonemissionshasbeenonadownwardtrend.Thetopfouragriculturalcarbonources in termsof theaveagegrowthratesofarbonmisionsareelectricityonsumption，soilmanagement，gationandlstokand poultryemisios.InHunanProvinceagriculturalapitalstockcarbonemisionintesityandlaborinputareimportantfactorsfor thereductionofagriculturalcarbonemissons，whileagricultural economicdevelopment，technologicalprogressandagricultural structureare important factors forthe increaseofagriculturalcarbon emisions.InHunan Province，thedecouplingstatebetween agriculturalcarbonemissionsandcapital stock，technological progressandagricultural growthismainlya weak decouplngstate， whilete decoupling statebetweeagriculturalcarboemissons andlaborinput is mainlyastrong negative decouplingstate.Hence， strategic suggestionssuch asimprovingtheeficiencyofagriculturalproductionelectricityusage andthe proportionofcleanenergy usage，optimizingsoilmanagementmeasures，improving theagriculturalcarbonemissiontradingmechanismandregioalcoodiated management mechanism，and optimizing the agricultural production structure and technology are put forward.

Keywords：agriculturalcarbonemissions;C-Dproductionfunction;LMDIdecompositionmethod;decouplingeffect;Hunan

农业是碳排放的重要来源之一[I]，全球约 12% 的碳由农业系统排放[2]。（剩余11933字）