福建烤烟不同生育期雹灾风险评价

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中图分类号：S572；P426.64 文献标识码：A文章编号：1007-5119（2025）02-0018-08

Risk Assessment of Hail Damage at Different Growth Stages of Flue-Cured Tobacco in Fujian

LIU Jun1，DU Chaofan²，LIN Mengfan1， XIAO Xiuzhu³*， CHEN Jiajin³ （1.LongyanMeteorologicalBureauofFujianProvince，Longya3640oo，Fujian，Chia;2.LongyanBranchofFujanProvicial Tobacco Company，Longyan3640o0，Fujian， China; 3.FujianMeteorological Service Center，Fuzhou350o1，China）

Abstract： Therisofhaildamage wasasssedbasedondaysofhailoccurrence，tbacoplantingarea，eectiveleafnumberand insurancecompensationcoeficientinFujian.Thehaildamageriskindexwascalculatedwiththeriskofhaildamage，tobacofeld exposure，andtobaccoplant vulnerability.Thehaildamageriskassessment wascariedoutforfivegrowthstagesof tobacco， includingrootetesioperodigorosgowthriod，earlyaturitypriodiddleatritypiod，dlateaturityde results showedthat therisklevelofFujiantobaccoduring thevigorous growth periodandearlymaturityperiod was higher，adthe exposure levelofhaildamage intheborderareabetwensouthernNanpingandnorthemLongyan was higher.Thevulnerabilitylevel of tobacco plants duringthe vigorous growthperiodandearly maturityperodwasalsohigher.Theriskofhaildamage fromhighto lowisintheorderof vigorousgrowth period>earlymaturityperiod>middle maturityperiod>root extensionperiod>lateaturity period.The vigorous growth periodandearly maturity periodare high-risk periods for hail damageandhigh vulnerablty，sothe disaster prevention measures needs to be strengthened atthese stages.Thecomprehensive hail damagerisk in the whole growth periodis mildandthe moderateandabovehaildamageriskareaislocatedintheborderareaofFujianandJiangxiProvince，othe layoutof flue-cured tobacco planting should be properly optimized.

Keywords： flue-cured tobacco; hail damage; different growth stages; risk assessment; evaluation model

烤烟产量和品质与气候条件关系密切，从“趋利"方面进行烟区烤烟种植气候适宜性区划[1-4]，可为优化烤烟种植布局、调控烤烟品质提供科学指导。（剩余12646字）