基于HEC-HMS模型的小流域洪水预报模拟分析

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中图分类号：TV882.1；TP391 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1003-5168（2025）07-0048-04

DOI：10.19968/j.cnki.hnkj.1003-5168.2025.07.010

Simulation AnalysisofFlood Forecast in Small Watershed Basedon HEC-HMSModel

HE Yuancui1 ZHANG Jian² YIN Shuxia² （1.Hydrology Bureau of Shandong Province， Jinan 25Oooo， China; 2.Hydrology Bureau of Jining City，Jining272000，China）

Abstract： [Purposes] The objective of this study is to explore the application efect of HEC-HMS model in small watersheds by using typical watershed modeling.[Methods] Taking the Xueye Reservoir basin as an example，the HEC-HMS model of the Xueye Reservoir basin was established by using the rainfall and the inflow of the Xueye Reservoir from 1963 to 2016 in the upper reaches，Chayekou and Yumen stations，and the simulation analysis was carried out.[Findings]The results of the HEC-HMS model in the Xuye Reservoir basin were all qualified，and the simulation effect was good.The average certainty coefficient is O.828，which achieves Class B accuracy.[Conclusions] The HEC-HMS model is feasible in flood forecasting in small watersheds in northern China.

Keywords：Xueye reservoirwatershed;HEC-HMS; flood forecast simulation

0引言

受季风气候的影响，加上地理条件的复杂性，我国经常发生水旱灾害，严重危害了人民群众的生命财产安全。（剩余2885字）