乒乓球混双比赛制胜规律新探：基于“八轮次”得失分的性别差异解析

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中图分类号：G846 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1006-2076（2025）03-0117-10

Abstract：Since mixed doubles table tennis became anoficial event at the2O20 Tokyo Olympics，its competitive value and strategic position have undergone structural changes.Exploring the winning rules of this event is of great practical significance for optimizing China's Olympicpreparation system.Based on the unique "eight-round"structure of the mixed doubles rules，this studyconstructed a genderdynamic analysis framework and adopted amethod combining video analysisand mathematicalstatistics toconductasystematicanalysisof thetop international table tennisevents in the past five years.The research found that there was no significant diffrence in competitive effctivenessbetween samesex and opposite-sex service games.The outcome of the game depends on the tactical execution eficiency of key sequenceswithin theround.Intheeight-roundtactical system，inthefemale-to-femaleround，alocaladvantage was formedthroughthe men'sthirdshot'sattack，whileinthefemale-to-femaleround，themen's fourthshot'sdefensive stabilitywas insufficient，which became a systematicshortcoming.Under thesame tactical scenarios，genderatributes haveasignificantmoderating efectontheeffectiveness ofrounds.Thisresearch breaks through thetraditional analytical paradigm of singles events，constructs a dynamic model related to genderand rounds，provides theoretical support for China's mixed doubles event to cope with the Olympic"singlecombination participation"ruleand optimize the allcation of tactical resources，and promotes the transformation ofthe training system towards a data-driven scientific paradigm.

Key Words：table tenns; mixed doubles competition; wining paterns;eight-round system; points scored and lost; gender differences

乒乓球混双项目自2020年东京奥运会成为正式比赛项目以来，其在竞技体系中的战略地位发生了根本性转变，已从边缘性“附属项目”发展为各国奥运战略的核心竞争领域[1]。（剩余14210字）