融合自然-社会属性的城市洪涝韧性评估

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关键词：城市洪涝；自然-社会属性；洪涝韧性评估；系统涌现特征；多主体建模；晋城市中图分类号：TV122.1文献标志码：A doi：10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.09.008引用格式：，舒心怡，.融合自然-社会属性的城市洪涝韧性评估[J].人民黄河，2025，47（9）：55-61，69.

Urban Flood Resilience Assessment Integrating Natural-Social Attributes

XU Zongxue1，²， SHU Xinyi 1，2 ，YE Chenlei³ （1.Collg of Water Science，Beijing Normal UniversityBeijing 10o875，China；2.Beijing KeyLaboratoryof Urban Hydrological Cycleand Sponge City Technology，Beijing 1O0875，China;3.School of National SafetyandEmergency Management， Beijing Normal University，Beijing ，China）

Abstract：Undertheiuenceofclimatechangndaidurbanization，theisuesofurbanfloodingndwaterlogginghaveboeinceas inglysevere，ndteconsuctionofresilientcishasbcoeanimporantwaytoaddressthechallnges.Teeseachprgessoban flod multi-processcoupledsimulationsocialresponsemechanismsandresilienceassessentwereeviewedinhisstudy.Inoerto hanceurbanflooddisasterpreventioandrductiocapabiltis，teXiedrainageareiJchngCity，haniProvince，asselectea casestudyIticoporateddolicaladhdrodamicprocessndsysteegececharactestisuingstoaterflgets intoaresilieneevounframeokbsedonsstedamics，cheingdamicsssmentofflodsileewitttegatioofoth “naturalandcial”atribute.Thesultsshothatitheetesionofterecurenceerodofrinfall，thldohedanageste hassignificantlyincreased，theriskstotepopulationanduldingshavecontiuedtoise，andteincrementofurbanflodeslcehs shown an evolutionary feature of continuous decline.

Keywords：rbafooding；natural-sociaribtes；floodresilenceevoutio；sstemmegececaracteristics；multi-agentodeling Jincheng City

在全球气候变暖的背景下，极端暴雨事件发生的不确定性与概率不断增大，城市“热岛效应”“雨岛效应"加剧，且暴雨事件频率提高、强度增强[2-3]。（剩余11502字）