多能互补系统容量规划与调度运行研究综述

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中图分类号：TV62；TV882.1 文献标志码：A doi ：10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.09.003引用格式：，.多能互补系统容量规划与调度运行研究综述[J].人民黄河，2025，47（9）：15-23，42.

Research Overview of Capacity Planning and Scheduling Operation for Multi-Energy Complementary Systems

CHANG Jianxia， TIAN Yuyu（Xi’anUniversityof Technology，Xi’an71OO48，China）

Abstract：Thehighproportionofnewenergintegrationintothepowergridposessignifiantchallengesforteoperationofpowrsystes. Multi-energycomplementaryschedulingasbcomeanfectiveapproachforintegratingnewenergysources.Thispaperelaboratedthechar acteristicsofmulti-energycomplementaryscheduling，andintroducedelevanttheoriesandmethodsfromfouraspectsofnewenergypower forecasting，uncertaintyuantifcationofindndsarowerapacityofguratioofultieergoplementarysytesndulin ergycomplementarysheduling.Intersofnewenergypowerforecastinganduncertaintyquantification，thispapersummarzdphsical methods，statisticalmethodsandombinedforecastingmethods.Theprobabilisticanalysisobustintervalmethodsandscenarioanalyis methodswereintroducedtoquantifyteuncertaintyofwindandPVpower.Regarding tecapacityconfigurationofulti-energyopltarysystems，thepaperputfowardcapacityplanningmethdsbasedontraditionalpowerplaingandflexibilityasessment.UsingtheYelow RiverBasinandtheYalongRiverbasinasexamples，thecapacityplaning theoriesforhydro-wind-PVcomplementarysystemsaswellas hydro-wind-solar-storage systems for large-scale basins were summarized.

Key Words： multi-energy complementarity; capacity planning；scheduling operation; clean energy base

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全球变暖对人类生存和可持续发展构成严重威胁[1]，而过量二氧化碳排放是重要原因。（剩余22207字）