基于火电机组响应状态的“启动-并网'时长预测方法研究

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中图分类号：TK114 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1002-4026（2025）04-0130-09

Abstract：With therapid increase in thescale of new energyinstalations，theroleof thermal powerunitsin grid peak regulation has become crucial.Swiftandprecise predictionof the duration of the“startup-grid connection”processfor thermalpowerunits is esentialfordispatchers topromptlyadjust gridoperation status.Toaddress thecurrntrelianceon human experiencefor predicting the durationof the“startup-grid connection”process，this paper proposes amethod for predicting the durationof this processfor thermalpowerunits.First，thestartup-gridconnection processof thermal power units isanalyzedtoidentifykeyoperational parametersateach stage.Then，logicalcalculationsare leveragedto predict the duration of the“startup-grid connection”process.Resultsofapilot testonatypicaluniton the“Net-Source platform” indicate thatthe proposedmodel canaccurately monitor the response stateof theunitsduringthe“startup-grid connection”process and succesfully predictis duration.This method provides timely decision support for dispatchers， helping to ensure the safety and stability of grid operations.

Key words ： thermal power units；monitoring model; response state； logical calculation； duration prediction

积极推动新能源发展，加速我国电力向低碳、清洁、绿色方向转型，是响应国家“碳达峰”战略目标的关键举措[1]。（剩余8596字）