基于任务的航空弹药需求预计方法

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中图分类号：E917 文献标志码：A DOI：10.3969/j. issn.1673-3819.2026.02.019

Abstract：Aimingatthecomplex problemofthedemandforecastforaviationammunition inthe processofcombatoperations planning，ascientificandpractical methodofdemand forecastforaviationammunitionwasproposed.Acording torelevant factorsinfluencingaviationammunitiondemand during wartime，thedemand predictionmodel foraviationammunitionbased on task was constructed，under theconditionof taking intoaccount systematicallyusingplan，support abilityand consumptionprobability.Andthedeterminationmethodsof modelparameterswereprovided.Thecalculationexampleshowsthatthe modelcancalculatequicklyaviationammunitiondemand，and providemethodological guidanceforsupportplans draftingof aviation ammunition.

Key words：aviation ammunition；demand forecast；sortie rate；consumption probability

航空兵的主要作战武器装备是战斗机，而战斗机通过挂载的航空弹药对敌实施打击。（剩余9106字）