“双碳”背景下制造业产业链安全与效率耦合协调度
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中图分类号：F124 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1672-7312（2025）05-0590-11
The Coupling Coordination Degree of Manufacturing Industry Chain Safety and Efficiency under the Dual Carbon Background
WANG Ping， LIU Lirui
（Schoolof Economics and Management， Jiangsu Universityof Scienceand Technology， Zhenjiang 212oo，China）
Abstract： Under the dual-carbon context of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality， the manufacturing industry chain，as the main body of high-quality development，needs to achieve coordination and balance between security and efficiency.Based on panel data from 14 sub-sectors of the manufacturing industry from 2O15 to 2O22，this study analyzes the evolutionary diferences in the security， efficiency， and coordinated development level of the industry chain.It incorporates technological innovation，digital transformation，and environmental regulation into theanalytical framework offactors influencing the coordinated level and employs a panel vector autoregression model to empirically analyze the interactive effects of these three factors on the coordinated level. Generalized Method of Moments estimation and Granger-causality tests reveal that thelevel of digital transformation has a significant positive short-term impact on the coordinated development，and there is a lagged long-term positive relationship between environmental regulation and the coordinated level of the industry chain，which is conducive to bridging the gap between security and efficiency.However，technological innovation does not have a significant impact on the coordinated level of the industry chain. Compared with capital-intensive and technologyintensive industries，variance decomposition and impulse-response analyses further indicate that laborintensive industries have a beter coupling coordination degree of security and eficiency，and the positive impact of digital transformation and environmental regulation on the coordinated level is more significant.
Key words： industrial chain security; industrial chain efciency; coupling coordination; carbon emissions
0 引言
《巴黎协定》（TheParisAgreement）要求各缔约方以自主贡献的方式参与全球应对气候变化行动，并以控制全球平均气温上升幅度为核心目标，指明了全球绿色低碳转型的大方向。（剩余12509字）
