基于机器学习的沿海地区新质生产力驱动机制研究

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中图分类号：TP181；F124 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1005—9857（2025）06—0136—18

Study on the Driving Mechanism of New Quality Productivity in Coastal Areas Based on Machine Learning

SI Yu，SUN Chen，DAI Shanyu

（College of Economics &Management，Shanghai Ocean University，Shanghai 2Ol3o6，China）

Abstract： New quality productivity is a powerful driving force for economic and social development，and plays an important role in achieving high-quality development and Chinese-style modernization. In view of the fact that coastal areas are the forefront of opening up to the outside world，their unique geographical location， developed economic system，active international trade and superior innovation environment make them ideal objects for exploring the development of new productive forces. Therefore，in order to objectively quantify the nonlinear effect and importance of the key factors affecting the level of new quality productivity in coastal areas， this paper establishes a complete evaluation framework system based on the connotation characteristics of new quality productivity，from the three key levels of new quality workers，new quality labor objects and new quality means of production. The machine learning method was used to measure the level of new quality productivity in our country's coastal areas，and the SHAP model was used to analyze the key driving factors affecting the development level of new quality productivity in our country's coastal areas. The results show that the average level of new quality productivity in our country′s coastal areas is generally on the rise， but the overall level is not high，and the gap between different regions is obvious. Software business revenue and the number of high-tech enterprises have become key forces to promote the development of new quality productivity. This discovery not only reveals the unique advantages of coastal areas in the development of new quality productivity，but also provides an important reference for exploring the development path of new quality productive forces in coastal areas and even the whole country in China.

Keywords：Machine learning，New quality productivity，Driving factors

0 引言

习近平总书记强调：“高质量发展需要新的生产力理论来指导，而新质生产力已经在实践中形成并展示出对高质量发展的强劲推动力、支撑力，需要我们从理论上进行总结、概括，用以指导新的发展实践"[]。（剩余22633字）