体文旅产业融合发展水平的区域演化特征及其驱动因素
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The Dynamic Evolution of the Integration Development Level of China's Sports，Culture and Tourism Industries and Its Driving Factors
ZHANG Yufei1，²，ZHENG Ruihan³，WANG Zipu4
（1.Sports Economy Research Center，Dongbei UniversityofFinance and Economics，Dalian116O25，Liaoning，China;
2.SchoolofBusiness dministration，Dongbei UniversityofFinanceandEconomics，Dalian116O25，Liaoning，China; 3.School of Statistics，Southwest University of Finance and Economics，Chengdu 61oo74，China;
Abstract：Thisstudyemploysanemergence theory framework toinvestigatetheconvergence development patternsof sportscultural-tourisminustriesacross31provincial-leveladminstrativeunits（201—2021）utilizing CRIICmethod，coupling coordination model，spatialautoregressivemodel，and geograpicallyndtemporallyweightedregession（GTWR）mdelKey findingsreveal：（1）Temporalanalysisshowsprogresiveenhancementoftri-sectordevelopmentthroughthreedistinct phases—growth，adjustment，andrecoveryperiods，with convergence levelsevolving from stable progresion toaccelerated growth followedbystrategic optimization.（2）Spatialpatterns demonstrate“east-west disparityandsouth-north diferentiation”，featuringhigh-highclusteringindevelopedeasternregionsandlow-lowagglomerationsinwesternareas，with atypical high-lowclustersinsouthwestern China.（3）Spatialeconometricanalysisidentifiesdual-efectdriversdomestic consumptionpotential，capitalinvestment，populationdensityandopennessexhibitpositivelocalimpactsbutnegative spillover efectsonneighboringregions，whileeducation expenditureandtechnological innovation demonstratereversespatial interactions.（4）GTWRresultsreveal significantspatiotemporalheterogeneityindrivingmechansms，withallsixfactors showingtemporalfluctuationsandspatialvariabilityinefectintensityanddirectionality.Thestudyproposespolicy recommendationsincluding：leveragingcoreindustrialadvantagesforscaleefects;constructingdigitalcollaborationnetworks for regional synergy ;innovating factor alocation mechanisms for gradient compensation effects.
Keywords：sports，cultureandtoursmindustries;industrialintegration;emergencethory;regionalevolutioncharacteristics; driving factors
推进体育产业与文化产业、旅游产业融合（简称"体文旅"产业融合）发展是贯彻党的二十大报告有关“建设现代化产业体系”的重要举措。（剩余25286字）
