新质生产力、海洋技术创新对海洋产业链韧性的影响机制与实证检验

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中图分类号：F124.3：P74 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1005—9857（2025）07—0133—12

The Impact Mechanism and Empirical Test of New Quality Productive Forces and Marine Technology Innovation on the Resilience of the Marine Industry Chain

GUO Yifan， YE Fang

（Collge of Economics and Management，Zhejiang Ocean University，Zhoushan 316o35，China）

Abstract： The new quality productive forces are based on breakthrough innovative technologies， promoting marine technological innovation， accelerating the transformation and upgrading of traditional marine industries，and enhancing the resilience of the marine industry chain. On the basis of panel data of 1l coastal provinces （autonomous regions、centrally administered municipalities）in China from 2O08 to 2O22，the article uses fixed effect and mediation efect econometric models to explore the mechanism of the impact of new quality productive forces on the resilience of the marine industry chain and the mediation effect of marine technological innovation.The study shows that the new quality productive forces can remarkably improve the resilience of the marine industry chain，and this conclusion remains valid even after the robustness test and the endogeneity test. The regional heterogeneity test indicates that the promotion effect of new quality productive forces on the resilience of the marine industry chain is higher in the Southern Ocean Economy Circle than in the Northern Ocean Economy Circle and the Eastern Ocean Economy Circle. Temporal heterogeneity test shows that new quality productive forces contributed more to the resilience of the marine industry chain in 2015-2022 than in 20o8-2O14.New quality productive forces can improve the resilience of the marine industry chain through marine technology innovation. Therefore，it is necessary to give full play to the new drivers of new quality productivity，increase investment in marine technology innovation，and enhance the resilience of the marine industry chain according to local conditions.

Keywords： New quality productive forces，Resilience of marine industry chain，Marine technologyinnovation，Impact mechanism，Mediating effect

0 引言

海洋是高质量发展的战略要地，发展新质生产力是推动海洋经济高质量发展的内在要求和重要着力点1]。（剩余17487字）