北方农牧交错区干旱胁迫下的农户生计脆弱性及影响因素研究

一一以陕西省榆阳区为例

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中图分类号：F323.8 文献标志码：A 文章编号：2095-6819（2025）04-1115-10 doi：10.13254/j.jare.2024.0323

Research on farmers‘livelihood vulnerability to droughtand its influencing factors intheagro-pastoral ecotoneof northern China：astudyof YuyangDistrict，ShaanxiProvince

LI Yuheng1²，ZUO Wenjie3，CHENGWenjing1，²，STANNY Monika 4，DU Guoming³

（1.Instituteofacduraleachefsi; ResourcesandEviront，UniversityofCneseAcademyofSiences，Beijingo49，China;3.SholofPublicAdminstratiad Law，NortheastAgriculturalUnversityHarbin5O3O，China;4stituteofRuralandAgiculuralDevelopent，Polishcadeyf Sciences，Warsaw ，Poland）

Abstract：Inodertvealthfrencsofrslivelodlnabilityroughtinin'soastoalotoe，tsudytook YuyangDistrictofShaanxiProvinceasanexample，establishedanevaluationmodeloffarmers’livelihoodvulnerabilityfromthe perspectivesofexposure，sensivityandadaptability.Basedonthedatacollctedthrough surveying421farmerswithquestioairein 2022，thepaperevaluatedfarmers’liveliodvunerablitytodroughtandidentifedtheinflueningfactorsbyusingthebtacleodel. Theresultsshoedthattelivelihoodvulnerabiltofthesurveyedfarmerswasataighlevelasawole.Householderhadnevebento schol，householerofriaryshoolndpurefseretoseofgsteailtywith767，.O09nd.967siely Livelioodvuerabilitsgatielyoelatedioaglturaleliodndouseders‘ducatiilitosiiela

withhouseholders‘age.Thelossofcropscausedbynaturaldisastersandnoguaranteedagriculturalproducttransactionwerehemain factorstohighlivelihodexposureandsensitivelyseparately.Householders’educationandfamilysocialrelationshipwerethemain influentialfctorstofares’livelioddapabilityTereseachsosthathelivelodulnerabilityfdierenttysoffsis significantlydiferent.Onthewhole，thehigherleveltheouseholder'seducationandyoungerageandthemorediversifedliveliood strategies indicatelowerliveliodvulnerabilityandviceversa.Basedontheresearchresults，thispaperputforwardwitholicieand measures to improve the farmers‘climate resilience in China'sagro-pastoral ecotone.

Keywords：agro-pastoral ecotone; farmers‘livelihood vulnerability; climate change; drought

随着全球气候变暖趋势加剧，干旱成为制约农业生产、威胁农户生计最严峻的问题之一，引起了国际社会的高度重视-2]。（剩余15294字）