PPP模式下居住建筑节能改造项目投资风险评价

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LIU Guangfeng，LUO Qiaoqiao，ZHOU Zhi

（School of Economics and Management， Chongqing Jiaotong University， Chongqing 40Oo74，China） Abstract：In viewof theinvestmentriskevaluationof PPPmoderesidential buildingenergy-saving renovation project，an investmentrisk evaluationindexsysteminsixaspectsofenvironmentrisk，compliancerisk，managementrisk，financingrisk， constructionriskandoperationriskwas established，theweightofRisk factor wasdetermined bytheanalytic hierarchyproces， theriskrating evaluationmatrix wasobtained byexpert questionnaire，thestaticrisk situation wasanalyzedbythe set pair potential，andtheriskoccurrencetrendwasanalyzedbythepartialcoeficient theory，Thispaperconsructsaninvesmentrisk evaluationmodel of PPP moderesidentialbuilding energy-saving renovation projectbasedonthefiveyuan connectionnumber， andconducts anempiricalanalysis withaPPPresidentialbuildingenergy-saving renovation projectin Harbin.Theresults show thatthisevaluation modelcanefectivelycombinestaticevaluationanddynamicanalysisof investmentrisksinPPPmode residentialbuilding energy-saving renovation projects，providing referenceforsocial capitalto manage investmentrisks.

Keywords：PPP；building energy-saving renovation；set pair analysis；risk evaluation

0 引言

针对合同能源管理（EMC）模式下居住建筑节能改造项目存在的资金短缺、效益低下等问题，引入市场化的PPP模式，建立由政府、居民和社会资本等多方合作的模式可有效解决这些问题[1]。（剩余7582字）