新质生产力发展水平测度与演进特征

——以中部地区为例

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中图分类号：F124 文献标识码：A D0I：10.7535/j.issn.1671-1653.2026.01.001

Abstract： Taking the six provinces in central China as the research object，a new quality productive forces evaluation index system was constructed，which includes three dimensions： laborers，labor objects，and means of production. The entropy method model，obstacle degree model， Dagum Gini coeficient，Markov chain method，and ISM model were used to systematically measure the development level and spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of new quality productive forces in the central region from 2012 to 2O22. Research has found that the overall trend of new quality productive forces in the central region is steadily increasing，but the phenomenon of inter provincial development imbalance stil exists；The absolute gap between provinces has widened but the relative gap has narrowed，and it quickly rebounded after reaching its lowest point from 2O17 to 2020；The development of new quality productive forces has significant one-way progressive characteristics and spatial dependence，with obvious "spatial lock-in effect" and "club convergence" phenomena；The obstacles in the central region have evolved from "economic basic obstacles" to "innovative environmental obstacles" and then to "digital ecological obstacles". "Technology market transaction volume" is the long-term main obstacle，and the shortcomings of green transformation and "digital infrastructure" such as "renewable energy consumption" and "fiber length" are becoming increasingly prominent；In the short term，promoting the development of new quality productive forces in the central region can achieve certain results by improving the technology application environment at the intermediate level; In the long run，it is essential to start with the two fundamental factors of human capital structure and education level.

Keywords： new quality productive forces;central region; spatio-temporal evolution; high-quality development

一、引言

2023年9月，习近平总书记在黑龙江调研期间首次提出“新质生产力”概念，强调要整合科技创新资源，引领发展战略性新兴产业和未来产业。（剩余11585字）