河北省崩滑流地质灾害空间分布特征与孕灾条件分区研究

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中图分类号：P642 文献标识码：A 文章编号：2097-5465（2025）06-0085-09

Abstract：Theanalysisofthespatialdistributioncharacteristicsofcollpse，landslide，anddebrisfowinHebei province，along withtheonationof teirpredisposingconditions，canprovideareliabletheoreticalbasisanddatasupportforgeologicaldisaster preventionand mitigation.This study employsspatial autocorrelation Moran's I and kernel density estimation for cluster analysis to examinethespatialdistributionofcollapses-flowdisastersinHebeiprovince.Combinedwiththepredisposingconditionsof these disasters，thefuzzyC-meansclusteringmethdisapliedtozonatetheirspatialdistribution.Theresultsindicatethatcolapses-flow disastersexhibit significant spatial clustering.Approximately 46.05% ofthe study area is classified asa low-distribution zone for geological disasters，while 53.95 % isahigh-distribution zone.These disasters are primarily concentrated in northern Tangshan， northernandcentralQinhuangdao，mostofChengdeandZhangjiakou，aswellasthe Taihang Mountainregion，includingthe Baoding-Shijiazhuang-Xingtai-Handanbelt.

Keywords：geologic hazards；spatial distribution characteristics；Moran's I ；kernel density；thefuzzyC-mean

0 引言

崩塌、滑坡和泥石流（简称崩滑流）三种地质灾害具有相似的形成条件和分布规律，其突发性及难以预测，严重威胁了人民生命财产安全和社会生产活动[1-2]。（剩余10515字）