中国农业碳排放效率测度及时空演变分析

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关键词：农业碳排效率；超效率SBM；Mamlquist-Luenberger指数；Tobit模型中图分类号：F323；X322 文献标识码：A 文章编号：2097-5465（2025）05-0116-07

Abstract：AgriculturalcarbonemissonsareanimportantcomponentofChina’scarbonemissons，andagriculturallow-carbon developmentisofgreatsignificancetoachievingthegoalof"carbonneutrality"inChina.AccuratelymeasuringChina'sinter provincialagriculturalarbonemissioneficiencyandclarifyingitsinflueningfactorscanprovideectivereferencefoceating therealizationofagriculturalcarbonemissionreduction.ThispaperusesthesupereficiencySBMmodelandtheMamlquist Leuenberger productivityindex tocalculatetheagriculturalcarbonemisioneficiencyand changeindexof3Oprovinces inChina from2009 to2.romtheperspectiveof govermment，macroenvironment，andagriculturaldevelopment，theTobitmodelisused toanalyzetheinfluencingfactors.Theresultsshowedthatduringthestudyperiod，China'sagriculturalcarbonemissionefcency showedadownwardtrend，withhighefciencyreasainlyconcentratedinthewesteregionandtheastecoastalgio，while thecentralregionhadthelowestagriculturalcarbonemisioneficiencyandhadalargeemissionreductionpotential.Atthe provinciallevel，in2O2O，onlyHeilongjiang，Xinjiang，Shaanxi，Guizhou，andsomecoastalareasachievedagriculturalcarbon emission efficiency of 1.0 ，which are alsoregions with high cutting-edge technological progressindicators.Combining the dual characteristicsofspatialandtemporaldistributionofagriculturalcarbonemissionseficiencyanddecompositionofefciency changes，thispaperbelieves thattheimprovementofcuting-edge technolgicalprogressisthemainsourceof gowthforimproving agriculturalcarbonemissonseficiencyTheleveloffinancialsupportforagricultureandurbanizationhasasignificantpositive efectonagriculturalcarbonemisioneficiency；thelevelofagriculturalmechanization，naturaldisasters，andplantingstructure have significant negative effects on it.

Keywords：agricultural carbon emisson eficiency；super eficient SBM；Mamlquist Leuenberger index；Tobit model

1农业碳排效率研究现状

当前，学者们丰富了农业碳排放量的测算体系，将农药和化肥、农业机械消耗、牲畜养殖、水稻、农膜等都纳入农业碳排测算体系中。（剩余8339字）