基于PSR-TOPSIS模型和水系演变的湘江流域洪涝韧性评价及障碍因子分析

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Evaluation of Flood Resilienceand Analysis of Obstacle Factors in Xiangjiang River Basin BasedonPSR-TOPSISModelsandRiverSystemEvolution

SUN Ruisi', YANG Liu 1,2,3* ,FENG Chang1,23,ZHOU Jialong',LI Na',SHI Yabo1 (1.CollegofGeogaphyandTourism,HengangNoralUniversity,Hengyang4102,China;2.HunanEnvironmentalEducatio andSustainableDevelopmentResearch Base,Hengyang 421OO2,China;3.Hengyang Base,InternationalCentreonSpace Technologies for Naturaland Cultural Heritage (HIST)under the Auspices of UNESCO,Hengyang 421002, China)

Abstract:Flooddisastersareoneofthemostsignificantnaturalhazardsthreateningthesustainabledevelopmentofcities,and enhancingurbanfloodresilienceiscrucialforachievingsustainabledevelopment.Fromaresilienceperspective,thisstudy constructedacomprehensivefloodresilienceevaluationindicatorsystembasedonthepressure-state-response(PSR)frameworkby takingintoaccount thecomplexrelatioshipbetweenwatersystemindicatorsandfloodresilienceacross diferentvalueranges.The systemwasdevelopedfrommultipledmesions,incudingnatural,socialndonomicfactors.Byakingtheangingirsin asthestudyarea,thetechniquefororderpreferencebysimilaritytoidealsolution(TOPSIS)combinedwiththeentropyweightmethod wasemployedtoquantifyfloodresilienelevels,whiletheobstacledegremodelwasusedtoidentifykeyconstraitsafectinflood resilience. The results indicate that: ① The overallflood resilience of the basin shows a fluctuating upward trend,with an increase of 77.22% during the study period. ② The growth rates of resilience vary significantly among cities within the basin.As the capital city ofHunanProvince,Changshahasexperiencedrapideconomicdevelopment,resultinginthehighest increaseinfloodresilience, transitioningfromalowertoahigherresilienelevel.Incontrast,Loudi Cityhasshonthelowestprogressinflodresilieneaong all the cities. ③ Theprimary obstacles hindering the improvement offloodresilience are predominantlyconcentrated in the response andstatesubsystems,icludingtotalwagesofon-the-jobemployees,reservoircapacityndlengthoffodcontrolembankmets.In thefuture,enhancingfloodresiliencesouldfocusonindicatosofthestateandresponsesubsytems,suchastheotalwagesofoth jobemployees,eservoircapacityandthelengthoffloodcontrolmbankments.Thisstudycanprovidevaluablereferencesforiver systemprotection,floodriskmanagement,andurbanresilienceconstructionintheXiangjiangRiverBasinandothersiilargios. Keywords: flood resilience; river system evolution; TOPSIS; obstacle factor; Xiangjiang River Basin

洪涝灾害作为全球范围内最为频繁和破坏性极强的自然灾害之一,对人类社会和自然环境构成了严重威胁[1-3]。(剩余10179字)

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