中国省域经济双循环耦合协调的时空演化特征

——基于改进的耦合协调度模型的分析

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中图分类号：F208 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1007-8576（2025）03-0038-11

DOI： 10.16716/j.cnki.65-1030/f.2025.03.004

The Spatio-Temporal Evolution Characteristics of Coupling Coordination Degree of Dual Circulation in China ： An Analysis Based on an Improved Coupling Coordination Degree

FANDongjun1²，KEHan1

（1.Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics， Urumqi 83oo12， China; 2.Xinjiang Social & Economic Statistics & Big Data Application Research Center， Urumqi ， Ch

Abstract： ThepaperisbasedonthecomprehensivelevelofChina'sdualcirculationeconomyfrom2005 to2021.Animproved couplingcoodination modelisused tocalculatethecouplingcoordinationofthedualcirculationeconomyin3Oprovinces （regions，municipalities）in China from 2005 to2021.TheDagum Ginicoeficient，Moranindex，and spatialMarkovchainare usedtoexploretheregionaldiferences，spatialcorelation，andspatialtransferofthecouplingcoordinationlevelofthedual circulation economyinthefourregionsofChina.Theresearchresultsshowthatthelevelof internalcirculationinChina'seconomyshowedanupward trend，whilethelevelof externalcirculationshowedadownwardtrend ingeneralfrom2Oo5to2021. Thecouplingandcoordinationdegreofeconomicdualcirculationhasbeen increasing yearbyyear，andtheeasternregionis significantlyghertanthentral，este，ndorteasteegions.uringtesearchperiod，thespatialdiereitinof thecouplingcoodinationdgreeofteeonomicdualciulationdecreasedovrall，buttheegionaldiffrentiationised. Fromtheperspectiveofspatial distribution，thecouplingandcoordinationdegreeofeconomicdualcirculationshowsapatial positive correlation characteristic，and there is no leapfrog development in type transfer.

KeyWords：dualciulationofthconomy;ouplingcoodnationdegee;DagumGinicoeffnt;Moran'sI;spatialMarkovhan

一、问题的提出

2020年4月习近平总书记在中央财经委员会第七次会议上指出：国内循环越顺畅，越能形成对全球资源要素的引力场，越有利于构建以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局，越有利于形成参与国际竞争和合作新优势。（剩余11672字）