交通需求管理视角下上海市城市交通拥堵研判分析与规划应对

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AbstractTracing the internal causes ofcongestion fromtheperspective of trafic demand management （TDM）willhelp us understand thecurrenturbantraficcongestiondilemma inShanghai.Thispaper takes Shanghai's transportation demand andtransportationsuplyastheresearchobject.Byanalyzing thetotalroadmileage，thetotalnumberofmotor vehiclesand the averagedaily travelof Shanghai，the averagedailytransportation volumeofShanghai's public transportation，this paper compares theinvestmentin Shanghai'spublic transportationconstructionandroadtransportationconstruction，andaalyzes thechanges in Shanghai's operating parking spaces and parking costs data，figuring outthe irreconcilablecontradiction betweenthe growing traffic demandand limitedtransportation supply in Shanghai.Using traffc situation data such as the often-congestedsectionsandintersections，thecongestion indexduringtheeveningrushhour，andthereal-timenumberof parkedandrunningvehicles，this paperdescribes space-timecharacteristicsandoverallcharacteristicsofShanghai's traffc congestion.Incombination with the theoretical framework of traffic demand management，a targeted congestionrelief strategy is proposedtousetheprincipleofeconomicleverage.Understanding thecausesofroadcongestion inShanghai from theperspectiveoftrafficdemandmanagementcanprovideareferenceforShanghai'srfined traffccongestionmanagement.

关键词交通需求管理;交通拥堵;交通态势数据;经济杠杆调控KeyWords trafficdemand management; trafficcongestion; traffic situationdata; economic leverageregulation

作者简介

陈泳杰

华东师范大学访问学者

上海公安学院交通与监所管理系

讲师，硕士，chenyongjie82@126.com

0引言

城市交通拥堵是一种交通供需矛盾的产物，反映了交通需求与交通供给之间的不均衡性，即交通基础设施和服务供给（例如道路容量、公共交通运力等）与人民群众日益增加的交通出行需求之间存在的矛盾1。（剩余11036字）