空间溢出视角下中国FDI对 CO2 排放的影响效应研究

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关键词：区域经济；高质量发展；半参数空间杜宾模型；FDI； CO2 排放；非线性效应中图分类号：F062.2 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1672-7312（2025）04-0474-09

Abstract： As an important engine of China’ s economic growth，the study of the impact mechanism of foreign direct investment（FDI） on carbon dioxide（ CO2 ）emissions is of great significance to the realization of the“double carbon” goal and the high-quality development of the economy.Based on the panel data of 29 provinces in China from 2OO8 to 2O22，this paper explores the nonlinear effect of FDI on CO 2 emissions using the Semiparametric Spatial Durbin Model.The results show that： There is a significant positive spatial spillover effect of CO2 emissions，that is，the neighboring region will produce positive spillover of CO2 emissions in the local region. The influence of FDI on CO 2 emissions is non-linear， showing an inverse“N”curve relationship of inhibition - promotion - inhibition.Although FDI exerts nonlinear effects on CO 2 emissions in the three regions，such effects are more obvious in the eastern and central regions， while weak in the western regions. Based on this，the following suggestions are put forward： Establish a sound regional linkage mechanism to make full use of the spatial spillover effct of （2号 CO2 emissions.The government should vigorously atract foreign investment，optimize the business environment，and take into account both “open” and“green” development goals，so that the impact of FDI on CO2 emissions will enter the final stage of the inverted “N” curve as soon as possible;（3） Explore low-carbon development models in line with the actual development of the eastern，central and western regions in light of local conditions.

Key words： regional economy; high quality development; Semiparametric Spatial Durbin Model; FDI; CO2 emission; nonlinear effect

0 引言

温室气体导致的全球变暖是一个全球性的环境问题，已经成为人类和其他物种生存的巨大威胁。（剩余13143字）