突发事件情境下高新技术企业韧性提升机制的演化博弈

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中图分类号：F424 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1672-7312（2025）04-0441-11

Abstract： In order to improve the resilience and security of the supply chain of the science and technology industry，and to explore the path of“government-enterprise-market”synergistic strategy to enhance the resilience of high-tech enterprises，this paper constructs a tripartite evolutionary game model of government departments，integrated circuit manufacturers，and downstream application manufacturers under the context of emergency impact，and explores the system evolution results of the resilience improvement mechanism of high-tech enterprises using Matlab numerical simulation. Through theoretical modeling and system simulation，the evolution process of the tripartite stable strategy is analyzed，and the impact of the initial willingness and different strategy choices on the system evolution under the state of bounded rationality is discussed.The results show that the government’ s wilingness to subsidize decreases with the increase in IC manufacturers’willingness to invest to enhance resilience and the increase of downstream application manufacturers’ willingness to expand demand.The amount of government emergency subsidies need to be maintained in a moderate range to effctively encourage high-tech enterprises to adopt positive behaviors. When downstream application manufacturers choose to expand demand，IC manufacturers tend to invest in resilience to avoid delayed order delivery.When IC manufacturers invest to enhance resilience，downstream application manufacturers choose to expand demand to grasp the potential market opportunities. It aims to provide suggestions for the improvement of high-tech enterprise resilience and the stable and smooth development of the economy.

Key words： high-tech enterprise resilience; integrated circuit; evolutionary game; simulation analysis; promotion mechanism

0 引言

党的二十大明确提出，“着力提高全要素生产率，着力提升产业链供应链韧性与安全水平”。（剩余14666字）