基于未来土地利用模拟的大理市绿色基础设施网络构建

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關鍵詞：绿色基础设施网络；土地利用模拟；PLUS-MSPA模型；可持续发展；大理市中图分类号：S759.9 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1673-923X（2025）10-0144-15

Construction of the green infrastructure network in Dali City based on thefuture land use simulation structure

LIJian’e1，YUHongjiang²，FUShiling¹，ZHANGYun

（1.SchoolofscapeitecturedHorticlture，outhwestForestryUesityuning24，ui 2.YunnanTianyu Engineering CostConsultingCo.，LTD，Kunming679399，Yunnan，China）

Abstract：【Objective】Withcontinuousurbanizationandthefragmentationof greenspacesimpacting humanwel-being，the developmentofGreenInfrastructure （GI）networksis essentialforfutureurbanplaning.【Method】TakingDali Cityasacasestudy thelandussimulationpredictionfor32isbasedonthePatchgeneratingLandUseSimulation（PLUS）model.Thismodeltegates landusedatafromtheyearso2，2l2，andtoprovideabasisfortheconstructionofnecologicalnetworkinsubseuent stages.Buildingontisdata，MorphologicalSpatialPateAnalysis（MSPA），theMinimumCumulativeResistance（MCR）odel， andCircuitToeplodtetifoicalusddortortokisocteddee ofoptimizationisassessdbycomparingthenetworkstructuretothatoftheGInetwork in2022.【Result】Theresultsshowedthat： 1）TheforestareaastheargesamongthelandusetypesinDaliCitynditadagoodecologicalbackgroudUndertheatural developmentsimulation，theforestareawillincreasein32thegrassandandwaterareawillbethesameasin022;2）totalof 10ecologicalsourceswereidentifedwithErhailakandCangshanmoutainastemaecologicalsources.Atotalofotetial ecologicalcodorsveedrmarilatediingan，EindsteestiosItt westernarea，whichincludestheLancangriverbasinandtheHainanmountainlandscape，displaysconsiderablefragmentation; 3） The optimized GI network a β and y index valueswere 0.23，1.4 and 0.49，respectively，up0.20，0.49and 0.16.【Conclusion】The studyfocusesonlandusesimulationforteconstructionofaGnetworkinDaliCityby32.Itsaiistoupportthecitsfuture sustanabledeveloptoideeicalfobanginaliCitycetprotectioofdoloicalityd offeranimprovedresearch frameworkfor thesustainable expansionofother highlandlakecities.

Keywords：greeninfrastructure network;landusesimulation;PLUS-MSPAmodel;sustainabledevelopment;Dali City

土地利用/覆被变化是全球环境变化的主要原因和重要组成部分，是人类活动与自然环境共同作用的结果，直接影响生态系统服务的价值和功能，是确保陆地生态系统可持续发展和维护生态安全的关键[1-2]。（剩余21404字）