基于用户工况的氢能源汽车经济性敏感度分析

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【欢迎引用】,,.基于用户工况的氢能源汽车经济性敏感度分析[J].汽车文摘,2025(7):57-62. 【Cite_this paper]_ZHAO JG, GUOFG,LI ST.Economic Sensitivity Analysis of Hydrogen Energy VehiclesBased onUser Operating Conditions[J]. Automotive Digest (Chinese), 2025(7): 57-62.

中图分类号： 文献标志码：A DOI:10.19822/j.cnki.1671-6329.20240037

Economic Sensitivity Analysisof Hydrogen Energy Vehicles Based on User Operating Conditions

Zhao Jingang,Guo Fenggang,Li Songtao (BeiqiFoton Motor Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100085)

【Abstract】To investigate the economic feasibility of hydrogen-powered heavy-duty trucks in both subsidizedand non-subsidized markets,a hydrogenvehicleperformance simulation modelandaTotal Costof Ownership(TCO)modelare established.Through comparativeanalysis of diferent powertrainconfigurations meeting dynamic performancerequirements under user-specific operating conditions,aswellassensitivity studies on hydrogen pricingand energyconsumptionper 100km,several criticalfindingsareobtainedasfolowing.Powertrainconfigurationsignificantlyimpacts totalvehiclecost, withhigherfuelcellsystempowerleading toincreasedoverallcosts.Hydrogen-poweredheavy trucksrequirescenariospecificadaptationsinbothmarkettypes.Whileprofitabilityisachievableinsubsidizedmarkets,themarginremains narrow.In non-subsidized markets，economic viability requires hydrogen prices below 21RMB/kg .Thestudy reveals substantialsensitivitytohydrogenconsumption,withprofitabilitythresholdsestablishedat

Keywords: Hydrogen fuel cell vehicle,Vehicle model, Economy

0 引言

在能源危机与节能减排背景下，氢能源汽车具有绿色环保和续驶里程长的优势，特别适用于中远途、中重型商用车场景，是目前氢能应用的重要领域，被视为绿色低碳交通的有效解决方案之一[1-2]。（剩余8176字）