耕地流转对村域“非粮化”的影响

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中图分类号：F323.211；F326.11 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1673-338X（2025）2-056-16

Abstract：Vilagsareyunitsforfrmandtrasferandthegoveanceof"ongrainultivation"，yeturrntresearhlacillg scaleanalysisofmland"ongrainculivatio.Basedosureydatafrom5vilagsorgaedbyhinaNaonalForestrasad DevelopmentResearchCnterinO22，thispaperemploydaultiplregressionmodeltodisuss teimpactofvilagescalefarmland transferon"giivatio"ditsitealhasm.esultssodhat）Overallicaseingrefad transferwouldexacerbatethelevelof"nongraincultivationintevillgeareaswitharegressoncoeffcientofO.44.（2）He terogeneityanalysis indicatedthatfarmlandtransferinnon-grainproductionareashadasignificantlypositiveeffecton"non-grain cultivation"（regression coefficient =0.1619 ）in the village areas，while no significant effect was observed in main grain production areas.（3）Moderatingeectanalysisevealedthatagriculturalsupportsubsidiescouldinhbitepositiveefectoffarmlandtransfer on "non-grain cultivation"（interaction term regression coefficient =-0.1799 ），whereas the policy implementation capacity of village commiteeswouldexacerbatethepositiveeffectoffarmlandtransferon"non-graincultivation"（interactionteregresionent =0.1429. ）.Basedonempiricalfindings，this studyrecommended implementing differentiatedrectificationmeasures for"non-grain cultivation"，irongtaiidriotdregthgtasots"esitetueisey implementatiomulaeouslytpoposdddnollctieestureaerbyaingoandoveae developingforestfoodindustriestoestablishdiversifiedsupplementarysystemforfodsecurityandenhancingsystematicupply capacitythroughacordinatedfarmlandandforestandgovermancemechanism，therebycomprehensivelyconsolidatingthefoundation of food security.

Keywords：landmanagement；farmlandtransfer；multipleregressionmodel；non-graincultivation；village areas

1引言

国际形势变幻莫测，全球粮食产业链供应链不确定性风险与日俱增。（剩余19051字）